Inter Turku 2-0 IFK Mariehamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - League Cup, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.1
Over 2.5
44%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.68
No
55%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
2.95
6+ Goals
9%
9.33
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.8 — our 27% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-10.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.6pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 25%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.15/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.79
-33% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +84%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Turku
3W-1D-2L
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.36 xG 0.74
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
390 Passes 268
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
02.08.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-0 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
05.05.2024 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 3-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
03.02.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 0-2 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
30.07.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-2 HT 0-2 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
22.05.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 1-1 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Turku
2-0
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Turku got the better of IFK Mariehamn 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter Turku as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Inter Turku had 48% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 52%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Inter Turku and 1.00 for IFK Mariehamn.

What was the final score of Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn?

Inter Turku 2-0 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - League Cup on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Turku vs IFK Mariehamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Inter Turku 43%, draw 27%, IFK Mariehamn 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Turku), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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