Changwon City 0-1 Gimhae City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+1.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.02/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.92
-9% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
303 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gimhae City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
29.06.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 0-2 HT 0-2 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
03.03.2024 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-1 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
15.09.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 3-2 HT 2-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
21.05.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-2 HT 1-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
22.10.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 1-1 HT 1-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
06.08.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-2 HT 0-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Gimhae City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimhae City edged past Changwon City 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and on the day Gimhae City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Changwon City and 1.50 for Gimhae City.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Gimhae City?

Changwon City 0-1 Gimhae City in the South Kore - K3 League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Gimhae City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 31%, draw 30%, Gimhae City 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimhae City), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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