Changwon City 0-2 Gimhae City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changwon City EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.09/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.98
-2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changwon City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gimhae City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
03.03.2024 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-1 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
15.09.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 3-2 HT 2-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
21.05.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 2-2 HT 1-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
22.10.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 1-1 HT 1-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
06.08.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-2 HT 0-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
26.06.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-2 HT 0-1 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
POST-MATCH Changwon City vs Gimhae City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimhae City saw off Changwon City 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (31% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Gimhae City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changwon City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Changwon City and 1.17 for Gimhae City.

What was the final score of Changwon City vs Gimhae City?

Changwon City 0-2 Gimhae City in the South Kore - K3 League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changwon City vs Gimhae City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Changwon City 31%, draw 31%, Gimhae City 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimhae City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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