Paju Citizen 1-1 Gyeongju HNP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 29 Jun 2024

📅29/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.90/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.39
-20% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -29%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
237 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 492 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paju Citizen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gyeongju HNP
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
5 Corners 4
02.03.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
27.08.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-1 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
29.04.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 4-0 HT 1-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
25.09.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-1 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
21.05.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
04.09.2021 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 1-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
POST-MATCH Paju Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paju Citizen and Gyeongju HNP couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Gyeongju HNP at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Paju Citizen and 1.00 for Gyeongju HNP.

What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?

Paju Citizen 1-1 Gyeongju HNP in the South Kore - K3 League on 29/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 24%, draw 30%, Gyeongju HNP 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gyeongju HNP), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GK3L More South Kore - K3 League
29 Jun 2024
11:00 Changwon City vs Gimhae City Analysis →
13:00 Gangneung City vs Daejeon Korail Analysis →
13:00 Mokpo City vs Yeoju Sejong Analysis →