Dugopolje 2-1 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 28%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +17%
1.50/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.62
+0% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +95%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dugopolje
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Jarun
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 0-0 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
25.08.2024 Jarun Jarun 2-2 HT 1-1 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
06.04.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-2 HT 0-2 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
25.11.2023 Jarun Jarun 0-2 HT 0-1 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
POST-MATCH Dugopolje vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dugopolje edged past Jarun 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dugopolje as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dugopolje had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dugopolje and 0.75 for Jarun.

What was the final score of Dugopolje vs Jarun?

Dugopolje 2-1 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dugopolje vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dugopolje win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dugopolje 41%, draw 26%, Jarun 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dugopolje) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dugopolje) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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