Milsami 1-1 Sparta Selemet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.11
Draw
22%
8.78
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
85%
-19.1pp
22%
Draw
8%
+13.2pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
4.29/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/3.39
+62% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -29%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
427 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milsami
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Sparta Selemet
4.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2025 Milsami Milsami 5-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Selemet MOLDK
06.04.2025 Sparta Selemet 1-6 HT 1-3 Milsami Milsami MOLD
24.09.2023 Sparta Selemet 1-2 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
1-1
AWAY Sparta Selemet
72% Ball Possession 28%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Milsami vs Sparta Selemet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milsami and Sparta Selemet couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Milsami at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milsami had 72% of the ball to Sparta Selemet's 28%, shots finished 16-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Milsami had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 4.33 goals for Milsami and 0.67 for Sparta Selemet.

What was the final score of Milsami vs Sparta Selemet?

Milsami 1-1 Sparta Selemet in the Moldova - National League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs Sparta Selemet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milsami win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Milsami 66%, draw 22%, Sparta Selemet 12%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Milsami) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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