Milsami 5-0 Sparta Selemet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - Cup, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.16
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
18%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
82%
-21.1pp
21%
Draw
13%
+8.6pp
18%
Away Win
6%
+12.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.7pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 8%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
427 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milsami
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Sparta Selemet
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Sparta Selemet 1-6 HT 1-3 Milsami Milsami MOLD
24.09.2023 Sparta Selemet 1-2 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
5-0
AWAY Sparta Selemet
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Milsami vs Sparta Selemet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milsami swept aside Sparta Selemet 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Milsami as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Milsami had 50% of the ball to Sparta Selemet's 50%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Milsami had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Milsami and 1.00 for Sparta Selemet.

What was the final score of Milsami vs Sparta Selemet?

Milsami 5-0 Sparta Selemet in the Moldova - Cup on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs Sparta Selemet?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milsami win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Milsami 60%, draw 21%, Sparta Selemet 18%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milsami), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Milsami) ✓ Over 2.5
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