Zimbru 1-2 FC Sheriff — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - Cup, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.56
Over 2.5
35%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
60%
+4.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
40%
-4.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.4pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 49%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Sheriff
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Zimbru Zimbru 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
15.03.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
27.10.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-2 HT 3-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
25.08.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
01.05.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-1 HT 1-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLDK
24.04.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
1-2
AWAY FC Sheriff
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs FC Sheriff
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff squeezed past Zimbru 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zimbru had 64% of the ball to FC Sheriff's 36%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zimbru and 1.33 for FC Sheriff.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs FC Sheriff?

Zimbru 1-2 FC Sheriff in the Moldova - Cup on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs FC Sheriff?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 25%, draw 31%, FC Sheriff 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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