Zimbru 1-2 FC Sheriff — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.52
Over 2.5
53%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
3%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+6.3pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
62%
-15.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
38%
+15.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 56%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.10/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.63
+63% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +18%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Sheriff
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-1 HT 1-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLDK
24.04.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLDK
07.04.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-1 HT 3-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
25.11.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-0 HT 2-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
24.09.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
06.05.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
1-2
AWAY FC Sheriff
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs FC Sheriff
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff nicked a narrow win over Zimbru 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Zimbru had 54% of the ball to FC Sheriff's 46%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Zimbru and 1.33 for FC Sheriff.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs FC Sheriff?

Zimbru 1-2 FC Sheriff in the Moldova - National League on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs FC Sheriff?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 28%, draw 23%, FC Sheriff 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Over 2.5
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