FC Sheriff 4-2 Zimbru — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.4pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Zimbru EU Bookmakers 18%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.32/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.63
-32% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
365 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Sheriff
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Zimbru
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
01.05.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-1 HT 1-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLDK
24.04.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLDK
07.04.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-1 HT 3-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
25.11.2023 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 2-0 HT 2-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
24.09.2023 Zimbru Zimbru 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
4-2
AWAY Zimbru
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Zimbru
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sheriff beat Zimbru 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Sheriff as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 62% of the ball to Zimbru's 38%, shots finished 18-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Sheriff and 0.67 for Zimbru.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Zimbru?

FC Sheriff 4-2 Zimbru in the Moldova - National League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Zimbru?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 52%, draw 27%, Zimbru 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sheriff) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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MOLD More Moldova - National League
27 Oct 2024
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