Zimbru 1-1 FC Sheriff — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
43%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-8.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zimbru EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 56%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.43/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.55
+55% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +67%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
174 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zimbru
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Sheriff
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-0 HT 0-0 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
27.10.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-2 HT 3-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
25.08.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 1-2 HT 1-2 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLD
01.05.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 1-1 HT 1-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLDK
24.04.2024 Zimbru Zimbru 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff MOLDK
07.04.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 4-1 HT 3-1 Zimbru Zimbru MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zimbru
1-1
AWAY FC Sheriff
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zimbru vs FC Sheriff
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zimbru and FC Sheriff couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Sheriff at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Zimbru had 37% of the ball to FC Sheriff's 63%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Sheriff led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zimbru and 1.83 for FC Sheriff.

What was the final score of Zimbru vs FC Sheriff?

Zimbru 1-1 FC Sheriff in the Moldova - National League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zimbru vs FC Sheriff?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sheriff win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zimbru 26%, draw 31%, FC Sheriff 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Sheriff), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Sheriff) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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