CSF Balti 3-3 Sparta Selemet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.28
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
14%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
29%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
74%
-8.1pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.1pp
15%
Away Win
10%
+5.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.6pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 12%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.78/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/3.06
-27% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -26%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSF Balti
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Sparta Selemet
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2025 Sparta Selemet 2-3 HT 0-2 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
26.10.2024 Sparta Selemet 1-1 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
11.11.2023 Sparta Selemet 1-5 HT 0-1 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
17.09.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSF Balti
3-3
AWAY Sparta Selemet
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CSF Balti vs Sparta Selemet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSF Balti and Sparta Selemet couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. CSF Balti carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSF Balti had 54% of the ball to Sparta Selemet's 46%, shots finished 17-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, CSF Balti had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for CSF Balti and 1.25 for Sparta Selemet.

What was the final score of CSF Balti vs Sparta Selemet?

CSF Balti 3-3 Sparta Selemet in the Moldova - National League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSF Balti vs Sparta Selemet?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSF Balti win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split CSF Balti 66%, draw 20%, Sparta Selemet 15%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (CSF Balti), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSF Balti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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