SSC Farul 1-2 UTA Arad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 26% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.2pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 29%
+18% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.58/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.73
+11% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
18.7 Crosses 17.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Farul
2W-4D-0L
AWAY UTA Arad
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.56 xG 0.75
55% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
408 Passes 203
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2025 SSC Farul SSC Farul 1-1 HT 0-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
18.12.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-5 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROMK
26.08.2024 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-1 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
16.12.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-0 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
26.10.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 2-2 HT 1-2 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
24.02.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Farul
1-2
AWAY UTA Arad
0.92 xG 2.51
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
599 Passes 220
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SSC Farul vs UTA Arad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTA Arad squeezed past SSC Farul 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was SSC Farul at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, SSC Farul had 69% of the ball to UTA Arad's 31%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.92 to 2.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold UTA Arad's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SSC Farul had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SSC Farul and 0.83 for UTA Arad.

What was the final score of SSC Farul vs UTA Arad?

SSC Farul 1-2 UTA Arad in the Romania - 1st Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Farul vs UTA Arad?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Farul win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split SSC Farul 41%, draw 30%, UTA Arad 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SSC Farul), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SSC Farul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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