Hermannstadt 1-0 CSMS Iaşi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.75
Over 2.5
41%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.83
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 30% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY CSMS Iaşi EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.83/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.51
+13% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
25.4 Crosses 17.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermannstadt
3W-2D-1L
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.75 xG 1.59
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 Passes 444
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2025 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-1 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROMK
25.01.2025 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-2 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
18.12.2024 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi 0-0 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROMK
31.08.2024 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 6-2 HT 4-1 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
06.05.2024 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-1 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
24.11.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 CSMS Iaşi CSMS Iaşi ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermannstadt
1-0
AWAY CSMS Iaşi
1.85 xG 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
395 Passes 307
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hermannstadt vs CSMS Iaşi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermannstadt nicked a narrow win over CSMS Iaşi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hermannstadt as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Hermannstadt had 54% of the ball to CSMS Iaşi's 46%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.85 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hermannstadt had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hermannstadt and 0.50 for CSMS Iaşi.

What was the final score of Hermannstadt vs CSMS Iaşi?

Hermannstadt 1-0 CSMS Iaşi in the Romania - 1st Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermannstadt vs CSMS Iaşi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hermannstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hermannstadt 43%, draw 29%, CSMS Iaşi 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hermannstadt), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hermannstadt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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