Al Kholood 1-0 Al Ettifaq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒19:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
9.06
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 27% vs market 19.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.1pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.62/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.23
+14% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +47%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 77%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
13.0 Crosses 18.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Kholood
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Ettifaq
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.68 xG 2.16
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
251 Passes 420
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 33
9 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2025 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
1-0
AWAY Al Ettifaq
1.52 xG 0.27
27% Ball Possession 73%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 7
167 Passes 537
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
31 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Al Ettifaq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood edged past Al Ettifaq 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Al Kholood made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Kholood had 27% of the ball to Al Ettifaq's 73%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.52 to 0.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Kholood's control.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Al Ettifaq?

Al Kholood 1-0 Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Al Ettifaq?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 38%, draw 26%, Al Ettifaq 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Kholood) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Kholood)
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