Al Khaleej 1-2 Al Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.5pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.21/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.33
-23% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 80%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.1 Crosses 19.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khaleej
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Riyadh
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.37 xG 0.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
394 Passes 284
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.01.2025 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
27.05.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
16.12.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khaleej
1-2
AWAY Al Riyadh
0.66 xG 0.91
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
287 Passes 428
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Khaleej vs Al Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riyadh squeezed past Al Khaleej 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Al Riyadh made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Khaleej had 42% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 58%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.66 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Khaleej and 1.33 for Al Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Al Riyadh?

Al Khaleej 1-2 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Al Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Khaleej win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 39%, draw 27%, Al Riyadh 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Khaleej) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Khaleej) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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