Al Riyadh 2-2 Al Khaleej — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 9 Jan 2025

📅09/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.56
6+ Goals
8%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 33% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 37%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
0.61/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.87
-60% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +35%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
13.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
20.9 Crosses 21.4
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riyadh
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Khaleej
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.11 xG 1.55
44% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
295 Passes 377
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2024 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-2 HT 0-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
16.12.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
2-2
AWAY Al Khaleej
0.67 xG 1.01
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
263 Passes 428
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Al Khaleej
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riyadh and Al Khaleej shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 42% of the ball to Al Khaleej's 58%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 0.67 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Riyadh and 1.00 for Al Khaleej.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Khaleej?

Al Riyadh 2-2 Al Khaleej in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 09/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Khaleej?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Khaleej win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 33%, draw 28%, Al Khaleej 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Khaleej) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
9 Jan 2025
17:45 Al Fateh vs Al Wehda Analysis →
20:00 Al Nassr vs Al Akhdoud Analysis →