Al Nassr 3-1 Al Akhdoud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 9 Jan 2025

📅09/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.29
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
21%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
24%
2.54
6+ Goals
12%
6.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
73%
-16.2pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.0pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Akhdoud EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.30/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.29
+17% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +22%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
23.2 Crosses 9.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Akhdoud
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.88 xG 0.52
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
600 Passes 226
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2024 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud 2-3 HT 0-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
24.11.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
3-1
AWAY Al Akhdoud
2.64 xG 0.31
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
632 Passes 206
92% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Akhdoud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr saw off Al Akhdoud 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Nassr had 70% of the ball to Al Akhdoud's 30%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.64 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Al Nassr and 1.00 for Al Akhdoud.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Akhdoud?

Al Nassr 3-1 Al Akhdoud in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 09/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Akhdoud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 57%, draw 22%, Al Akhdoud 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
9 Jan 2025
17:45 Al Fateh vs Al Wehda Analysis →
18:00 Al Riyadh vs Al Khaleej Analysis →