Al Fateh 1-2 Al Wehda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 9 Jan 2025

📅09/01/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
27%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -32%
1.50/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.16
+32% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
314 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 78%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
18.6 Crosses 19.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fateh
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Al Wehda
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 1.27
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
335 Passes 286
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
30.09.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 5-1 HT 1-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
28.04.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
27.01.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
07.01.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
29.02.2020 Al Fateh Al Fateh 3-2 HT 2-2 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fateh
1-2
AWAY Al Wehda
1.05 xG 0.69
78% Ball Possession 22%
20 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
545 Passes 101
87% Pass Accuracy 56%
30 Box Touches 15
40 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Fateh vs Al Wehda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wehda edged past Al Fateh 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Al Fateh at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Al Fateh had 78% of the ball to Al Wehda's 22%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 1.05 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Fateh and 1.00 for Al Wehda.

What was the final score of Al Fateh vs Al Wehda?

Al Fateh 1-2 Al Wehda in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 09/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fateh vs Al Wehda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Fateh 41%, draw 24%, Al Wehda 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Fateh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Fateh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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