Al Wehda 2-3 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.28
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.98
6+ Goals
13%
9.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +6%
1.21/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.24
-17% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
18.6 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Fateh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.26 xG 1.56
49% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
300 Passes 307
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 5-1 HT 1-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
28.04.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
27.01.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
07.01.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
29.02.2020 Al Fateh Al Fateh 3-2 HT 2-2 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
27.09.2019 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
2-3
AWAY Al Fateh
1.62 xG 0.68
38% Ball Possession 62%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 7
282 Passes 510
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
30 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fateh squeezed past Al Wehda 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 37%) promised a tight game; Al Fateh found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Wehda had 38% of the ball to Al Fateh's 62%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.62 to 0.68 — on chances, Al Wehda could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Wehda and 1.83 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al Fateh?

Al Wehda 2-3 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wehda win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 40%, draw 22%, Al Fateh 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Wehda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Wehda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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