Al Shabab Riyadh 3-4 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 30 Mar 2024

Al Shabab Riyadh
3-4 HT 1-3
Al Hilal Riyadh
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2023/2024

Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Hilal Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
63%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.47
2-3 Goals
36%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
24%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
15%
+2.2pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.3pp
63%
Away Win
66%
-2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Shabab Riyadh v Al Hilal Riyadh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 70%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.45/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.99
+39% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +22%
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
218 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 83%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.5
13.7 Crosses 26.6
3.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Hilal Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.17 xG 2.06
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
350 Passes 445
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.09.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
09.08.2023 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh AŞMPL
07.04.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
10.10.2022 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
03.04.2022 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SAKK
17.02.2022 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 5-0 HT 4-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD

Al Shabab Riyadh 3-4 Al Hilal Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
3-4
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.99 xG 3.45
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 10
295 Passes 424
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 36
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh edged past Al Shabab Riyadh 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 43% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 57%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 0.99 to 3.45 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al Hilal Riyadh's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 2.17 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Shabab Riyadh 3-4 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 17%, draw 20%, Al Hilal Riyadh 63%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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