Al Nassr 5-1 Al Taee — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.22
Draw
21%
6.26
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.96
2-3 Goals
38%
2.43
4-5 Goals
28%
2.35
6+ Goals
13%
3.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
78%
-15.4pp
21%
Draw
13%
+8.1pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+7.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
24%
+16.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
76%
-16.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taee EU Bookmakers 12%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
2.20/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.85
+11% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +0%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
439 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 78%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
24.5 Crosses 14.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Taee
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
2.14 xG 0.90
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
382 Passes 304
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
30 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2023 Al Taee Al Taee 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
16.05.2023 Al Taee Al Taee 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
06.01.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Taee Al Taee SUUD
06.02.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-1 HT 3-0 Al Taee Al Taee SUUD
10.12.2021 Al Taee Al Taee 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
5-1
AWAY Al Taee
3.20 xG 0.37
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
535 Passes 188
90% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 8
31 Crosses 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Taee
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr ran out comfortable winners over Al Taee 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Nassr had 70% of the ball to Al Taee's 30%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 3.20 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Nassr had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Al Nassr and 0.80 for Al Taee.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Taee?

Al Nassr 5-1 Al Taee in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Taee?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 62%, draw 21%, Al Taee 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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