Al Riyadh 1-1 Abha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
17.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Abha EU Bookmakers 36%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
0.17/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.58
-100% / +147% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
8.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.5 Crosses 15.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riyadh
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Abha
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.14 xG 1.16
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
229 Passes 351
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Abha Abha 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
1-1
AWAY Abha
1.11 xG 0.27
65% Ball Possession 35%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
490 Passes 216
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 10
28 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Abha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riyadh and Abha couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 65% of the ball to Abha's 35%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.11 to 0.27.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Abha?

Al Riyadh 1-1 Abha in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Abha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 39%, draw 30%, Abha 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Riyadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Riyadh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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