Al Wehda 1-0 Al Fateh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒19:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.78
6+ Goals
16%
7.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wehda EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Fateh EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.34/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.28
+25% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
303 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 82%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
18.1 Crosses 19.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wehda
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Fateh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.97 xG 1.22
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
262 Passes 383
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.01.2025 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
30.03.2024 Al Wehda Al Wehda 2-3 HT 1-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
30.09.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 5-1 HT 1-1 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
28.04.2023 Al Fateh Al Fateh 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Wehda Al Wehda SUUD
27.01.2023 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
07.01.2021 Al Wehda Al Wehda 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Fateh Al Fateh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wehda
1-0
AWAY Al Fateh
0.73 xG 2.01
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
167 Passes 381
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
6 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 36
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wehda vs Al Fateh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wehda edged past Al Fateh 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Fateh at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Wehda had 34% of the ball to Al Fateh's 66%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.73 to 2.01 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Fateh.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Fateh led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Wehda and 2.00 for Al Fateh.

What was the final score of Al Wehda vs Al Fateh?

Al Wehda 1-0 Al Fateh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wehda vs Al Fateh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Fateh win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Wehda 29%, draw 24%, Al Fateh 47%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Fateh) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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