Fatih Karagümrük 2-1 Iğdır FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
34%
3.45
Away
32%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.3pp
35%
Draw
25%
+9.2pp
32%
Away Win
43%
-11.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.35/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.74
+42% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
19.7 Crosses 23.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Iğdır FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.85 xG 0.54
29% Ball Possession 71%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
142 Passes 496
60% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.01.2025 Iğdır FK Iğdır FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
2-1
AWAY Iğdır FK
1.79 xG 1.97
27% Ball Possession 73%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
118 Passes 424
61% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Fatih Karagümrük vs Iğdır FK
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Fatih Karagümrük edged past Iğdır FK 2-1 in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10 May 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 27% of the ball to Iğdır FK's 73%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.79 to 1.97.

What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Iğdır FK?

Fatih Karagümrük 2-1 Iğdır FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Iğdır FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 34%, draw 35%, Iğdır FK 32%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5
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