Ümraniyespor 0-1 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.6pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 51%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.20/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.87
+15% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
17.8 Crosses 12.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Manisa FK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.46 xG 1.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
350 Passes 349
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2025 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-3 HT 0-3 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
11.03.2024 Manisa FK Manisa FK 3-2 HT 2-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
22.10.2023 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 3-2 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
21.02.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-1 HT 1-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
25.09.2021 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
0-1
AWAY Manisa FK
1.47 xG 0.55
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
475 Passes 224
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ümraniyespor vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK nicked a narrow win over Ümraniyespor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Manisa FK made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 63% of the ball to Manisa FK's 37%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.47 to 0.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Ümraniyespor.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ümraniyespor had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ümraniyespor and 1.40 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs Manisa FK?

Ümraniyespor 0-1 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 34%, draw 27%, Manisa FK 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manisa FK), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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