Vorskla Poltava 1-2 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.3pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.9pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.7pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 19%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.75/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.88
-5% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vorskla Poltava
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.11.2024 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
09.03.2024 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
27.08.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 2-1 HT 2-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
16.04.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
08.10.2022 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 2-1 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
01.11.2021 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 0-0 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vorskla Poltava
1-2
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
4 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vorskla Poltava vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chornomorets Odessa nicked a narrow win over Vorskla Poltava 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Vorskla Poltava at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 4-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vorskla Poltava had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Vorskla Poltava and 0.33 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of Vorskla Poltava vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Vorskla Poltava 1-2 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vorskla Poltava vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vorskla Poltava win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vorskla Poltava 51%, draw 29%, Chornomorets Odessa 20%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vorskla Poltava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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