One Knoxville 1-1 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.2pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.08/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.28
-28% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
19.8 Crosses 14.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
1W-4D-0L
AWAY Forward Madison
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
0.57 xG 1.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
298 Passes 372
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
02.10.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-1 HT 0-1 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
10.09.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-0 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
13.08.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-2 HT 1-2 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
04.05.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-0 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
1-1
AWAY Forward Madison
1.75 xG 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
284 Passes 214
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville and Forward Madison shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was One Knoxville at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, One Knoxville had 56% of the ball to Forward Madison's 44%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.75 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, One Knoxville had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for One Knoxville and 0.40 for Forward Madison.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Forward Madison?

One Knoxville 1-1 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 43%, draw 29%, Forward Madison 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (One Knoxville), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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