Levadiakos 4-1 Kallithea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.19
6+ Goals
10%
21.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.61
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
16%
5.34
X/2
12%
6.21
X/X
12%
3.99
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
11%
4.57
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.4
Value flag · 2/X at 13.4 — our 12% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levadiakos EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Kallithea EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.08/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.17
-15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
21.7 Crosses 14.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levadiakos
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Kallithea
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.28 xG 0.46
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
301 Passes 253
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
15 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.04.2025 Kallithea Kallithea 0-3 HT 0-1 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
09.12.2024 Kallithea Kallithea 2-4 HT 1-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
18.08.2024 Levadiakos Levadiakos 0-0 HT 0-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
04.03.2006 Kallithea Kallithea 3-2 HT 1-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
23.10.2005 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-0 HT 1-0 Kallithea Kallithea YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levadiakos
4-1
AWAY Kallithea
2.60 xG 0.89
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
468 Passes 270
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Levadiakos vs Kallithea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levadiakos ran out comfortable winners over Kallithea 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Levadiakos as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Levadiakos had 60% of the ball to Kallithea's 40%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.60 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Levadiakos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Levadiakos and 1.00 for Kallithea.

What was the final score of Levadiakos vs Kallithea?

Levadiakos 4-1 Kallithea in the Greece - Super League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levadiakos vs Kallithea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levadiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Levadiakos 41%, draw 31%, Kallithea 29%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levadiakos), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levadiakos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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