Aris Saloniki vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aris Saloniki v Asteras Tripolis — Team-Based Signals
Aris Saloniki vs Asteras Tripolis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-1
Asteras Tripolis
YUN
3-0
HT 2-0
Asteras Tripolis
YUN
Aris Saloniki 4-2 Asteras Tripolis — Actual Match Statistics
Aris Saloniki got the better of Asteras Tripolis 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aris Saloniki had 55% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 45%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 3.22 to 0.86.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aris Saloniki and 1.33 for Asteras Tripolis.
What was the final score of Aris Saloniki vs Asteras Tripolis?
Aris Saloniki 4-2 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aris Saloniki vs Asteras Tripolis?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 56%, draw 23%, Asteras Tripolis 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.