Aris Saloniki vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Aris Saloniki v Asteras Tripolis — Team-Based Signals
Aris Saloniki vs Asteras Tripolis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Aris Saloniki 4-2 Asteras Tripolis — Actual Match Statistics
Aris Saloniki put daylight between themselves and Asteras Tripolis 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 48%, coin-flips both.
On the day, possession split 55% to 45% in Aris Saloniki's favour, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 3.22 to 0.86.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Aris Saloniki against 1.33 for Asteras Tripolis.
Aris Saloniki vs Asteras Tripolis Result & Final Score
Aris Saloniki 4 - 2 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Aris Saloniki vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Aris Saloniki 60%, draw 23%, Asteras Tripolis 17%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.