Asteras Tripolis 2-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 23 Dec 2024

📅23/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.37
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.5
6+ Goals
10%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.3
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
18%
5.75
X/2
13%
5.34
X/X
13%
3.74
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.86
2/X
5%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.3pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
0.97/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.21
-14% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.9 Crosses 16.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.49 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
310 Passes 394
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
03.01.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-2 HT 1-2 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
03.09.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-2 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
08.01.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-0 HT 2-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
11.09.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
26.02.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
2-1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.68 xG 1.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
160 Passes 294
59% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asteras Tripolis edged past Aris Saloniki 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Asteras Tripolis found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 39% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 61%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.68 to 1.17 — on chances, Aris Saloniki could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 2.17 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Saloniki?

Asteras Tripolis 2-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 23/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asteras Tripolis win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 37%, draw 27%, Aris Saloniki 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asteras Tripolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
23 Dec 2024
19:00 OFI vs Volos NFC Analysis →