Asteras Tripolis 0-2 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.13
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.36
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
5.45
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.8
X/1
9%
6.58
X/2
13%
4.85
X/X
11%
3.56
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
19%
3.41
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+7.3pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.1pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -18%
1.27/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.17
+6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.7 Crosses 16.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asteras Tripolis
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.45 xG 1.31
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
278 Passes 397
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 2-1 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
31.08.2024 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
03.01.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 3-2 HT 1-2 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
03.09.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-2 HT 1-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
08.01.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 3-0 HT 2-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
11.09.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asteras Tripolis
0-2
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.23 xG 1.75
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
324 Passes 523
82% Pass Accuracy 91%
8 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki beat Asteras Tripolis 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Aris Saloniki found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Asteras Tripolis had 41% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 59%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.23 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Asteras Tripolis and 2.00 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Saloniki?

Asteras Tripolis 0-2 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asteras Tripolis vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Asteras Tripolis 36%, draw 27%, Aris Saloniki 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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