OFI 1-2 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
22%
3.6
6+ Goals
11%
15.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.6 — our 22% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.12
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
17%
5.05
X/2
11%
6.82
X/X
12%
4.49
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
16%
4.97
2/X
10%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-7.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.1pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFI EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +16%
1.45/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.10
+7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
19.6 Crosses 17.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFI
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Atromitos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.86 xG 1.03
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 Passes 342
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 0-0 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
24.08.2024 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
30.03.2024 OFI OFI 0-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
13.01.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
23.09.2023 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 1-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
29.04.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 2-3 HT 2-2 OFI OFI YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFI
1-2
AWAY Atromitos
1.06 xG 0.81
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
382 Passes 251
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH OFI vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atromitos edged past OFI 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Atromitos found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, OFI had 59% of the ball to Atromitos's 41%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.06 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, OFI had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for OFI and 0.83 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of OFI vs Atromitos?

OFI 1-2 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFI vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFI win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split OFI 35%, draw 31%, Atromitos 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (OFI), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OFI) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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