Vasalund IF 1-2 Pitea IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.33
Draw
16%
4.81
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
71%
-1.6pp
16%
Draw
18%
-1.0pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.6pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Pitea IF EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
2.48/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.34
+4% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasalund IF
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Pitea IF
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 0-1 HT 0-0 Pitea IF Pitea IF İSÇ3
09.05.2024 Pitea IF Pitea IF 0-1 HT 0-1 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
22.10.2023 Pitea IF Pitea IF 2-0 HT 0-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
15.04.2023 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 2-1 HT 1-1 Pitea IF Pitea IF İSÇ3
02.10.2022 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 6-3 HT 3-2 Pitea IF Pitea IF İSÇ3
27.07.2022 Pitea IF Pitea IF 6-2 HT 1-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasalund IF
1-2
AWAY Pitea IF
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vasalund IF vs Pitea IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pitea IF squeezed past Vasalund IF 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Vasalund IF at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Vasalund IF had 53% of the ball to Pitea IF's 47%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Vasalund IF and 2.17 for Pitea IF.

What was the final score of Vasalund IF vs Pitea IF?

Vasalund IF 1-2 Pitea IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasalund IF vs Pitea IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasalund IF win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Vasalund IF 69%, draw 16%, Pitea IF 15%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vasalund IF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vasalund IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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