Castellon II 2-3 SD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Castellon II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY SD Logrones EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.35/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.23
+2% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Castellon II
2-3
AWAY SD Logrones
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Castellon II vs SD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SD Logrones nicked a narrow win over Castellon II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Castellon II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Castellon II had 66% of the ball to SD Logrones's 34%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of Castellon II vs SD Logrones?

Castellon II 2-3 SD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Castellon II vs SD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Castellon II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Castellon II 49%, draw 23%, SD Logrones 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Castellon II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Castellon II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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