Numancia vs Poblense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Numancia v Poblense — Team-Based Signals
Numancia 0-1 Poblense — Actual Match Statistics
Poblense edged past Numancia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Numancia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Numancia had 58% of the ball to Poblense's 42%, shots finished 8-3.
What was the final score of Numancia vs Poblense?
Numancia 0-1 Poblense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Numancia vs Poblense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Numancia 45%, draw 25%, Poblense 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Numancia), BTTS Yes went the other way.