Real Jaen 1-2 Deportivo Alaves II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
32%
-5.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.5pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Jaen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Alaves II EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.03/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.85
-10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
POST-MATCH Real Jaen vs Deportivo Alaves II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Alaves II edged past Real Jaen 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Alaves II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Real Jaen vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Real Jaen 1-2 Deportivo Alaves II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Jaen vs Deportivo Alaves II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Jaen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Real Jaen 40%, draw 27%, Deportivo Alaves II 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Jaen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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