Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 2-1 Gold Coast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.2pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.7pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.1pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern Suburbs Brisbane EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
6.70/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/2.73
+45% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
30.0 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gold Coast United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.43 xG 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
235 Passes 268
68% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
15.08.2025 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 5-1 HT 4-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
04.05.2025 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-4 HT 1-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
17.06.2023 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 0-3 HT 0-2 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
11.03.2023 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 1-1 HT 1-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVNPL
20.08.2022 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 3-2 HT 1-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
09.08.2022 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 3-1 HT 1-1 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
POST-MATCH Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Gold Coast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane edged past Gold Coast United 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Eastern Suburbs Brisbane as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastern Suburbs Brisbane had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane and 1.67 for Gold Coast United.

What was the final score of Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Gold Coast United?

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 2-1 Gold Coast United in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Gold Coast United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastern Suburbs Brisbane win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 60%, draw 18%, Gold Coast United 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastern Suburbs Brisbane), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eastern Suburbs Brisbane) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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