Turan Tovuz 1-0 Karvan Evlakh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
7%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
2%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
71%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.6pp
7%
Away Win
11%
-3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvan Evlakh EU Bookmakers 14%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.75/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/2.33
-20% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -15%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
446 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Karvan Evlakh
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
09.02.2026 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 1-0 Karvan Evlakh Karvan Evlakh AZERS
24.10.2025 Karvan Evlakh Karvan Evlakh 1-2 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Karvan Evlakh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz edged past Karvan Evlakh 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Turan Tovuz as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Turan Tovuz and 0.50 for Karvan Evlakh.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Karvan Evlakh?

Turan Tovuz 1-0 Karvan Evlakh in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Karvan Evlakh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 70%, draw 23%, Karvan Evlakh 7%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
10 May 2026
18:30 Neftçi PFK vs Shamakhi Analysis →