Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife Prediction — Model Probabilities
Ponte Preta v Sport Recife — Team-Based Signals
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Ponte Preta 1-3 Sport Recife — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Recife had too much for Ponte Preta 3-1 on the road. Half-time: 1-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 38% — and on the day Sport Recife made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sport Recife saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.15 to 1.52 — on chances, Ponte Preta could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Recife led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Ponte Preta against 2.17 for Sport Recife.
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife Result & Final Score
Ponte Preta 1 - 3 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie B on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Ponte Preta vs Sport Recife Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ponte Preta 29%, draw 33%, Sport Recife 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sport Recife) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.