MIO Biwako Shiga 1-0 Kagoshima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.4
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
65%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
3.57
6+ Goals
8%
15.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 37% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
25%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
15%
+0.4pp
19%
Draw
22%
-3.0pp
65%
Away Win
63%
+2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.1pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MIO Biwako Shiga EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 67%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-39% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.3 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MIO Biwako Shiga
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kagoshima United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
290 Passes 167
71% Pass Accuracy 63%
16 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 0
15.03.2026 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-0 HT 1-0 MIO Biwako Shiga MIO Biwako Shiga JAP2-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MIO Biwako Shiga
1-0
AWAY Kagoshima United
35% Ball Possession 65%
3 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 8
71 Passes 237
45% Pass Accuracy 66%
2 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH MIO Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MIO Biwako Shiga squeezed past Kagoshima United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Kagoshima United carried 65% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, MIO Biwako Shiga had 35% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 65%, shots finished 3-17.

What was the final score of MIO Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United?

MIO Biwako Shiga 1-0 Kagoshima United in the JAP2-3 on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MIO Biwako Shiga vs Kagoshima United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split MIO Biwako Shiga 16%, draw 19%, Kagoshima United 65%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kagoshima United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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