Ulytau 1-1 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
56%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
19%
-3.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
56%
Away Win
57%
-1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulytau EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat EU Bookmakers 61%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +18%
1.43/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.65
+82% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
264 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulytau
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kairat
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
02.08.2025 Kairat Kairat 1-0 HT 1-0 Ulytau Ulytau KAZP
03.05.2025 Ulytau Ulytau 1-4 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
POST-MATCH Ulytau vs Kairat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulytau and Kairat couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Kairat carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kairat led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ulytau and 2.50 for Kairat.

What was the final score of Ulytau vs Kairat?

Ulytau 1-1 Kairat in the Kazakistan - Super League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulytau vs Kairat?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ulytau 16%, draw 28%, Kairat 56%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kairat), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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