Aktobe 3-0 Kaisar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
13%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Aktobe win — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
60%
+1.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
13%
Away Win
17%
-4.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaisar EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -6%
1.66/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.84
-15% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -10%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kaisar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
06.04.2025 Aktobe Aktobe 4-1 HT 2-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
18.08.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 1-1 HT 1-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
01.03.2024 Kaisar Kaisar 1-3 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
22.07.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 1-0 HT 1-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
28.05.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 0-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
02.10.2021 Kaisar Kaisar 0-2 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs Kaisar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe cruised past Kaisar 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aktobe as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aktobe and 0.50 for Kaisar.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs Kaisar?

Aktobe 3-0 Kaisar in the Kazakistan - Super League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Kaisar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 61%, draw 26%, Kaisar 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aktobe) ✗ Under 2.5
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