Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 10 May 2026

Zenit St. Petersburg
2 - 1 HT 0 - 1
FC Sochi
📅10/05/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Sochi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
84%
1.18
Draw
11%
5.77
Away
5%
11.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.17
Over
61%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.33
2-3
43%
1.86
4-5
29%
2.8
6+
10%
8.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
60%
1.32
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
2%
29.5
X/1
21%
3.55
X/2
2%
28.0
X/X
6%
8.89
2/1
3%
26.0
2/2
3%
27.5
2/X
2%
34.0
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Zenit St. Petersburg v FC Sochi — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi The Market 8%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
2.68 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.65
0.51 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.42
Average Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength Average
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
456 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
38 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3

Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Sochi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Sochi
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.69 xG 0.30
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
547 Passes 277
87% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.10.2025 FC Sochi FC Sochi 0-3 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
02.07.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 5-2 FC Sochi FC Sochi HAZ
25.11.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 HT 1-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
07.10.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 0-2 HT 0-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
27.05.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-1 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
24.10.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 7-0 HT 4-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1 FC Sochi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2 - 1
AWAY FC Sochi
3.81 xG 0.68
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
460 Passes 198
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
48 Box Touches 8
34 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Sochi
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Zenit St. Petersburg nicked a narrow win over FC Sochi 2-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 84%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (61%) came in, no to both teams scoring (59%) didn't.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 67% of the ball to FC Sochi's 33%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 3.81 to 0.68 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Zenit St. Petersburg's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.50 for FC Sochi.

Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Sochi Result & Final Score

Zenit St. Petersburg 2 - 1 FC Sochi in the Russia - Premier League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Zenit St. Petersburg vs FC Sochi Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 84%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 84%, draw 11%, FC Sochi 5%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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