FK Orenburg 1-0 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.93
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.82
Over
48%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.87
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.92
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.72
6+
5%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.69
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
18%
4.51
X/2
10%
7.4
X/X
16%
4.5
2/1
3%
25.0
2/2
12%
5.75
2/X
5%
14.35
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME FK Orenburg The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov The Market 29%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.73 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.03
1.13 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.51
Strong Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
30 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Orenburg
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.12 xG 1.59
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
305 Passes 298
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.03.2026 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUSK
18.10.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
27.04.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
20.10.2024 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 2-2 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
04.05.2024 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
28.10.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Orenburg
1 - 0
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.55 xG 0.92
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
156 Passes 347
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW FK Orenburg vs Krylya Sovetov
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

FK Orenburg found just enough to beat Krylya Sovetov 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FK Orenburg as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 52%.

By the numbers, Krylya Sovetov saw more of the ball, 66% to 34%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.55 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krylya Sovetov led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for FK Orenburg against 1.50 for Krylya Sovetov.

FK Orenburg vs Krylya Sovetov Result & Final Score

FK Orenburg 1 - 0 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

FK Orenburg vs Krylya Sovetov Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Orenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FK Orenburg 50%, draw 26%, Krylya Sovetov 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Orenburg), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Orenburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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