Krylya Sovetov 2-0 FK Orenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Super Cup, 4 Mar 2026

📅04/03/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
43%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.86
Over
48%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.69
No
48%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
39%
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Orenburg The Market 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
380 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
1W-4D-1L
AWAY FK Orenburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.53 xG 1.01
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
296 Passes 302
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
27.04.2025 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
20.10.2024 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 2-2 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
04.05.2024 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
28.10.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
02.04.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 1-1 HT 1-1 FK Orenburg FK Orenburg RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
2-0
AWAY FK Orenburg
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Krylya Sovetov vs FK Orenburg
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Krylya Sovetov got the better of FK Orenburg 2-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

A gentle 43% lean on FK Orenburg didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.69, about 59%.

Under the surface, Krylya Sovetov had 63% of the ball to FK Orenburg's 37%, shots finished 19-4.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 1.17 for FK Orenburg.

Krylya Sovetov vs FK Orenburg Result & Final Score

Krylya Sovetov 2-0 FK Orenburg in the Russia - Super Cup on 04/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Krylya Sovetov vs FK Orenburg Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Orenburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 31%, draw 26%, FK Orenburg 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Orenburg), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Orenburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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