Defensor Sporting 1-2 Juventud — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensor Sporting EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventud EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.32/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.11
+7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensor Sporting
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Juventud
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2025 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventud Juventud URU
16.03.2025 Juventud Juventud 2-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
03.11.2021 Juventud Juventud 3-3 HT 1-2 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU2
06.10.2019 Juventud Juventud 1-3 HT 0-1 Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensor Sporting
1-2
AWAY Juventud
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Defensor Sporting vs Juventud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventud squeezed past Defensor Sporting 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Defensor Sporting at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Defensor Sporting had 50% of the ball to Juventud's 50%, shots finished 14-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Defensor Sporting had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Defensor Sporting and 1.50 for Juventud.

What was the final score of Defensor Sporting vs Juventud?

Defensor Sporting 1-2 Juventud in the Uruguay - Premier League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensor Sporting vs Juventud?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensor Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Defensor Sporting 47%, draw 27%, Juventud 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Defensor Sporting), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensor Sporting) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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10 May 2026
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