Torque vs Progreso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Torque v Progreso — Team-Based Signals
Torque vs Progreso Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Torque
URUK
1-2
HT 1-2
Progreso
URUK
1-0
HT 1-0
Progreso
URU
Torque 2-1 Progreso — Actual Match Statistics
Torque edged past Progreso 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Torque as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Torque had 60% of the ball to Progreso's 40%, shots finished 11-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torque had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Torque and 1.17 for Progreso.
What was the final score of Torque vs Progreso?
Torque 2-1 Progreso in the Uruguay - Premier League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Torque vs Progreso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Torque win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Torque 53%, draw 24%, Progreso 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torque), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.