Progreso 0-5 Torque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
50%
Away Win
45%
+4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progreso EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Torque EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.28/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.11
+17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
250 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progreso
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Torque
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.06.2025 Torque Torque 3-1 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU
04.05.2025 Torque Torque 2-3 HT 1-2 Progreso Progreso URU
29.10.2023 Progreso Progreso 1-1 HT 0-1 Torque Torque URUK
05.10.2022 Torque Torque 1-2 HT 1-2 Progreso Progreso URUK
04.12.2021 Torque Torque 1-0 HT 1-0 Progreso Progreso URU
20.08.2021 Progreso Progreso 1-4 HT 1-2 Torque Torque URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Progreso
0-5
AWAY Torque
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 13
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Progreso vs Torque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torque swept aside Progreso 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torque as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Progreso had 43% of the ball to Torque's 57%, shots finished 8-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torque led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Progreso and 2.00 for Torque.

What was the final score of Progreso vs Torque?

Progreso 0-5 Torque in the Uruguay - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progreso vs Torque?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torque win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Progreso 27%, draw 23%, Torque 50%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torque) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torque) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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1 Nov 2025
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