Montevideo Wanderers 2-2 Boston River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.4pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston River EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +3%
0.92/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.89
-18% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Boston River
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2025 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
06.10.2024 Boston River Boston River 3-2 HT 0-2 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
01.04.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-2 Boston River Boston River URU
13.11.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-1 Boston River Boston River URU
23.07.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
02.04.2023 Boston River Boston River 0-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
2-2
AWAY Boston River
53% Ball Possession 47%
24 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montevideo Wanderers and Boston River shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Boston River at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 53% of the ball to Boston River's 47%, shots finished 24-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boston River led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 1.33 for Boston River.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River?

Montevideo Wanderers 2-2 Boston River in the Uruguay - Premier League on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Boston River?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boston River win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 29%, draw 28%, Boston River 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Boston River), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boston River) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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